SVETLANA YU. RUMYANTSEVA
Ideas of Cyclical Development in Nature and Society and Civilization Shifts: Economic Aspects
(original language – Russian)
In the article on the base of noospheric approach is argues the necessity to stimulate the shift to using last achievements in new– VI and VII – technological orders. It is need to create the neutral in ecological sense model of economic development and growth that is able to overcome the trend to use fossil fuel. Thus it must be formulated the new system of values, in global economic sphere, that will come as Schumpeterian innovation. We show in the article that for creating of such innovation some financial conditions must being mature to correspond to the conditions of lower turning point of economic cycle, described yet by Schumpeter and Kondratieff. The change of basis energy resources as one of major moving forces of Kondratieff waves is defines the sustainability of economic system in ecological sense. This mechanism in the period of modern crises can be broken if the power of oil and connected with it roles in geopolitical allocation of the roles is stay still., It means the necessity to form new system of values, based on the idea of harmonic coexistence between humanity and nature and suggesting implementation of ecological innovations, that could solve the problem of energy dependence, famine and another socio-ecological problems on the periphery of modern global world, preventing new war disasters. By this way it is only possible to start new cycle of economic growth without dangerous of new world war.
Key words: noosphere, economic values, economic cycles, civilization cycles, technological orders.
Placed in №4, 2014.
Affiliations:
SVETLANA YU. RUMYANTSEVA, C.Sc. (Economics), Associate Professor,
Department of Economics, Saint Petersburg State University
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