OLEKSANDR L. CHERNENKO
Investment Support for Priority Sectors of the Economy in the Short-Term
(original language – Ukrainian)
The emergence of a new list of priority sectors of the economy, which the Government declares, conditions the need for calculating the volume of investment resources, which must be involved by the state in these industries to support their development in the short term. The implementation of such prediction requires the use of advanced methods of economic-mathematical modelling that will be effective in conditions of the limited availability of statistical data. This task was implemented due to: the developing an approach to the qualitative and quantitative assessment of the relationship between investment in fixed assets and gross value added in 33 economic activities in Ukraine, test of its effectiveness on data from the German economy, constructing a series of predictions to 2016 on the basis of the data obtained to priority economic activities. By a two-parameter exponential smoothing the scenarios of optimistic, average and pessimistic forecasts were formed. The obtained results will enable one to determine the amount of investment in fixed assets, which should be involved by the state in the priority economic activities until 2016 for their intensive development.
Key words: economic-mathematical modeling, forecasting, gross value added, investments into fixed capital, priority sectors.
Placed in №2, 2014.
Affiliations: OLEKSANDR L. CHERNENKO, Postgraduate Student of Scientific and research Institute of Economics, Ministry of Economic Development and Trade of Ukraine.
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